Posted by: Anna Webb | July 15, 2009

Tropical Storms: Carlos and Delores, Let the Tracking Begin! – UPDATED


Track predictions for Carlos and Delores. Delores goes further North into the Hawaiian Islands area.

Track predictions for Carlos and Delores. Delores goes further North into the Hawaiian Islands area.

(UPDATE: Carlos has been recategorized as a tropical depression and has weakened in the Pacific. Delores, however, continues to gather steam and progress in a north westerly direction across the East Pacific Ocean.)

As I noted in my blog entitled Hawaii Hurricane Season: Predictions and Preparedness , the Pacific Hurricane season began on June 1st. We’ve not heard much about it until recently with the announcement of El Nino as Tropical Storm Carlos began heading this way.

Upon researching a bit this afternoon, it appears Tropical Storm Delores is hot on Carlos’ heels. In fact, from all indications, she has a better chance of affecting the Hawaiian Islands than he does. It also looks like storm track predictions estimate they will lose strength the closer they come to the Central Pacific area.

There are certain factors that allow for accurate storm path predictions and tracking. Ocean water temperature is a main factor; a hungry tropical storm will follow warmer water to feed itself into a Hurricane. As we know, the waters off the Big Island are deeper and colder explaining why most Hurricanes shun this “rock”. Maui, Oahu and Kauai are more “tasty targets” with warmer water for these storms to feed upon, which draws them up from their East to West journey, south of the Hawaiian Islands.

Given the official announcement of the presence of El Nino, we can expect more stormy weather and warmer water temps in general throughout the Pacific but the tell tale sign will be significantly rising water temps around the islands as the next few months progress. Meanwhile, we’ll keep an eye on Carlos and Delores and their race across the Pacific and see who is stronger and can demonstrate the endurance to reach this area.

What are the 2009 Pacific Hurricane names?

These are the 24 names chosen to represent the Pacific Tropical Storms/Hurricanes for the 2009 season: Andres, Blanca, Carlos, Dolores, Enrique, Felicia, Guillermo, Hilda, Ignacio, Jimena, Kevin, Linda, Marty, Nora, Olaf, Patricia, Rick, Sandra, Terry, Vivian, Waldo, Xina, York, and Zelda.

Below are links to various websites that may be of interest to those of you who enjoy learning to track tropical storms and potential hurricanes and keep up with global weather in general. If it all seems like “tmi” (too much information) just stay tuned to my blog. I LOVE this stuff! Comments are much appreciated.

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I love this website and it’s the one I refer most to when keeping up with current weather in Hawaii. If you click on Hawaiian Weather in the left column, then click on the “select a product” dropdown list, you can read all about expected weather patterns on the islands:

http://weather.hawaii.edu/index.cgi

NODC (National Oceanographic Data Center) Hawaiian Coastal Water Temps

http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/dsdt/cwtg/hawaii.html

Here is a comprehensive website. Interesting, they show the Pacific Hurricane season beginning May 15th. However, an article I posted in another blog stated June 1st. Whatevah!

http://hurricane.com/

For those on the “Kona side” of Big Island this is a great webpage but limited to the Kona area.

http://www.lawrencevilleweather.com/wx.php?config=&forecast=warnings&pands=kailua+kona+hi

Weather Research and Forecasting Model website. Cool real-time forecast links here:

http://wrf-model.org/plots/wrfrealtime.php

Jay’s Hurricane Page – I love it, but it’s limited to Atlantic Hurricane information. Do not attempt to open this page if you have dial-up Internet! It will take a few days to load!

http://www.tropicwx.com/

For my friends “Down Under” – great weather prediction website for Australia and New Zealand:

https://www.predictweather.co.nz/?#/home/

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Responses

  1. We should be okay on this one

    Rick

  2. So, if this is a very active season.. you will be able to ask… “Where’s Waldo?” LOL
    Sorry, but had to say that..
    Great blog… as always.

  3. Hope they both fizzle out like Flossie did…..


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